摩根士丹利首席经济学家塞思·卡彭特13日在接受德国《商报》采访时表示美国经济增长正在明显放缓其中一个重要的因素是美国关税政策这一政策的后果将会在未来几个月内持续显现。卡彭特认为美国经济目前正面临持续性低增长他预计今年第四季度和明年第一季度美国经济将出现疲软增长。2026年美国经济可能仅会增长1.25%左右远低于2024年的2.8%。此外他指出目前美国劳动力市场的表现比几个月前明显走弱。新数据显示2024年3月至2025年3月期间新增就业岗位仅为最初预期的一半。此外美国工业生产也初现疲软迹象。。
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