长江证券研报指出，泸州老窖2025H1实现归母净利润76.63 亿元，同比下降4.54%；2025Q2归母净利润30.7亿元，同比下降11.1%。分产品结构来看，2025年上半年公司中高档酒类实现收入150.48亿元，同比下滑1.09%，实现销量2.41万吨，同比增长13.33%，销售均价62.39万元/吨，同比下降12.72%。公司去库存效果较好，未来有望轻装上阵。受需求端波动的影响，行业整体面临一定的压力，从历史来看，降低增速预期&维护渠道健康是缓解库存周期波动的正解。当前公司开始逐步协助经销商去化库存，目前效果相对较好，长期看，公司双轮驱动的格局以及腰部产品逐步复苏的趋势仍在延续。预计公司2025/2026年EPS为8.44/8.86元，对应最新PE 为17/16倍，维持“买入”评级。
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