ChainCatcher 消息,据 Finbold 报道,穆迪分析(Moody’s Analytics)首席经济学家 Mark Zandi 表示,该机构最新的机器学习领先指标显示,截至 8 月,美国在未来一年出现经济衰退的概率为 48%。他称该读数虽低于 50% 门槛,但按历史经验,当概率逼近/突破中 40% 区间时,往往与衰退同步或前后相随。Zandi 并提到,就业放缓与连续下修的数据使经济站在临界点上。
ChainCatcher 消息,据 Finbold 报道,穆迪分析(Moody’s Analytics)首席经济学家 Mark Zandi 表示,该机构最新的机器学习领先指标显示,截至 8 月,美国在未来一年出现经济衰退的概率为 48%。他称该读数虽低于 50% 门槛,但按历史经验,当概率逼近/突破中 40% 区间时,往往与衰退同步或前后相随。Zandi 并提到,就业放缓与连续下修的数据使经济站在临界点上。
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