穆迪分析在一份报告中称，由于贸易风险和国内经济疲软给前景蒙上阴影，预计日本央行将在周五维持其短期政策利率在0.5%不变。该机构称，上半年好于预期的增长和日元疲软将使加息成为可能，但鉴于出口和工业产值下滑以及消费者支出步履维艰，日本央行可能暂时按兵不动。穆迪预计日本央行将在明年1月份加息，但认为今年晚些时候也有可能加息。

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