港股异动 | 煤炭股午前拉升 8月原煤产量连续两月同比下滑 机构预计全年产量增速收窄

智通财经
Sep 19

智通财经APP获悉,煤炭股午前拉升,截至发稿,中煤能源(01898)涨4.41%,报9.94港元;兖矿能源(01171)涨4.01%,报10.38港元;中国神华(01088)涨1.9%,报38.64港元;力量发展(01277)涨1.57%,报1.29港元。

消息面上,据国家统计局数据,8月份,规上工业原煤产量3.9亿吨,同比下降3.2%,降幅环比7月收窄0.6pct;1-8月份,规上工业原煤产量31.7亿吨,同比增长2.8%。国盛证券指出,展望2025年,暂不考虑“反内卷”对产量的影响下,结合对2025年煤矿产能投放情况的梳理,预计全年动力煤产量仍将保持增长态势,或达38.8亿吨左右,但增速进一步收窄至1.4%左右。

中泰证券发布研报称,今年以来煤炭板块累计下跌幅度较大,机构持仓徘徊在低位,筹码结构健康,交易并不拥挤;淡季煤价回落再寻底基本告一段落,非电用煤旺季及迎峰度冬需求释放有望催化煤价进一步上行。短期看,受到中报业绩表现不佳催化,叠加科技行情吸水效应影响,板块承压,但却孕育新的配置机遇,建议积极布局,把握煤炭投资机会。

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