《大行》摩通:港银料持续减息 地产股首选恒地(00012.HK)信置(00083.HK)

阿斯达克财经
Sep 19

摩根大通发表研究报告指,美国联储局减息0.25厘后,港银亦跟随将最优惠利率(P息)下调0.125厘,其中汇丰新造按揭实际利率由3.5%降至3.375%,虽然表面上低于3.6%的毛租金回报率,但计入管理费及其他成本后,新造按揭利率仍高于3.1%的净租金回报率。
该行预期,随着美联储未来进一步减息,而港银料跟随减息步伐,香港楼市将于2026年实现真正的正现金流回报,支持对明年楼价增长3%至5%的基本预测,惟关键是恒指表现保持强势。摩通指,《施政报告》措施缺乏惊喜,美国减息幅度亦符合预期,地产股或出现短期获利回吐。

摩通对港楼维持正面看法,建议趁低吸纳,发展商首选恒地(00012.HK) 及信置(00083.HK) ,收租股偏好太古地产(01972.HK) 恒隆地产(00101.HK) ,其次为九龙仓置业(01997.HK) 及领展(00823.HK) 。(gc/da)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-09-18 16:25。)

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