中国发展网讯记者杨虹报道日前，在由中国人民大学深圳研究院主办，中国人民大学国际货币研究所(IMI)、中国人民大学深圳金融高等研究院承办的深圳社科沙龙“金价震荡：大类资产市场波动与下半年展望”研讨会上，莲华资产管理有限公司首席投资官洪灏表示，由于金银作为传统货币，市场配置比例往往联动，因此白银有望在未来继续追随黄金创新高，甚至超出市场预期。
洪灏从国际政治格局出发，对贵金属市场进行了系统分析。黄金自2024年开始快速上涨，白银走势与黄金高度一致，显示出相似的上涨潜力。美国贸易和财政赤字持续扩大，各国央行对美债需求下降，纷纷增持黄金以分散外汇风险，中国央行尤为明显，印度等国也在跟进。流动性模型表明，黄金走势与全球流动性高度相关，虽然黄金近两年已累计上涨约一倍，回报率明显偏高，但整体趋势仍然向上，未来波动将更大。总体而言，黄金和白银不仅是重要货币资产，更反映美元信用缺失和全球储备体系重构。未来几年，美元走弱与贵金属走强将是大概率趋势。
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