BlockBeats 消息，9 月 17 日，据花旗研究，从历史数据看，美股和债券在首次降息前后的中位数表现均为正收益。股票在降息后 50 天的中位数涨幅约为 5%，但硬着陆情形下存在下行风险。债券同样受益于降息预期和实际降息，收益率通常在首次降息前后达到低点。
美元指数的表现则呈现“先弱后平”的特征，通常在降息前走弱，但降息后进入区间震荡。黄金等贵金属同样在宽松政策出台前上涨，但在实际降息后表现趋于平淡，更多呈现区间交易格局。
花旗分析师表示，这些历史模式在 2024 年基本得到验证，但债券价格在首次降息附近见顶。当时市场对降息的定价较为激进，而本轮周期定价相对温和，因此对债券前景的担忧有所缓解。（华尔街见闻）
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