阿根廷比索周三重挫,首次突破政府设定的交易区间,可能会让政府控制通胀和积累外汇储备的政策陷入混乱。
阿根廷比索兑美元下跌近0.4%,至1美元兑1,474.50比索,突破交易区间上限,今日上限设在1美元兑1,474.345比索。这一交易区间限制是阿根廷4月与国际货币基金组织达成的200亿美元协议的一部分。
总统哈维尔·米莱政府曾试图通过收紧流动性、在期货市场抛售美元和限制购买美元等措施以阻止比索贬值。随着交易区间被突破,央行现在获准直接干预即期市场,而这将涉及动用宝贵的外汇储备。
Vontobel Asset Management投资组合经理Thierry Larose警告称,捍卫区间现在可能代价高昂。
“他们不想死守,”Larose表示,“最好是上调区间。他们需要降低当地利率以避免经济衰退,并保持财政的可持续性。只要是有序进行,就没问题。同样重要的是,要避免在一场他们不太可能打赢的战役中耗尽外汇储备。”
责任编辑:丁文武
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