高盛:本轮中国股市的上涨行情基础更为健康,具备可持续性

格隆汇
Yesterday

高盛首席亚太股票策略分析师慕天辉(Timothy Moe)及高盛首席中国股票策略分析师刘劲津表示,本轮中国股市(包括A股、港股)的上涨行情基础更为健康,具备可持续性,这主要基于以下三大原因:

一是市场参与者结构优化。这次市场上涨的参与者更加均衡。更多机构投资者买入中国股票,包括国内保险养老基金、共同基金,以及海外新兴市场基金和亚太地区基金管理人。

二是估值水平未过度拉升。MSCI中国指数目前交易于约17倍市盈率,仅略高于历史平均水平;沪深300指数中位数股票市盈率约为18倍,基本处于历史均值。

三是市场情绪表明,后续仍有上涨空间。尽管近期A股两融余额不断再创新高,超过2015年峰值,但考虑到过去10年A股市值翻倍,两融余额占市值的比例实际上远低于2015年水平,仍未过热。

责任编辑:安东

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