港股异动 | 中资券商股集体下跌 风险偏好短期有所降温 大摩因A股交投活跃上调券商盈测

智通财经
Sep 23, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,中资券商股集体下跌,截至发稿,中州证券(01375)跌4.81%,报2.57港元;招商证券(06099)跌4.47%,报15.82港元;光大证券(06178)跌3.91%,报10.33港元;中信建投证券(06066)跌3.75%,报12.85港元。

中泰证券发布研报称,美联储降息预期已被市场充分交易,此次结果并未超预期,因而在落地后引发投资者情绪的回落,风险偏好短期有所降温。国泰海通证券则表示,最近一个月非银板块跑输指数。但该行认为这一现象主要是交易因素影响,非银基本面持续向好。随着三季度市场上涨叠加成交量放大,权益投资及证券经纪业务持续改善,三季度业绩有望实现同比和环比高增。

此外,摩根士丹利发表研报称,A股市场日均成交额(ADT)持续高企,目前对全年ADT预测更具信心,将2025年ADT预测上调53%至1.53万亿元人民币,并预测2026及2027年ADT将保持每年5%至6%的按年增长。相应将所覆盖中资券商2025至2027年各年盈利预测平均上调25%、23%及20%,

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