智通财经APP获悉，瑞银发布研报称，工业金属价格受到正面的宏观经济所支持，包括美国减息和美元走弱、对AI贸易的信心、中国反内卷政策及潜在更多中国刺激政策。宏观经济得到改善，支持资金流向矿业股。该行认为，工业金属的整体前景正在改善，短期需求大幅放缓的风险正在减弱，铜和铝的中期基本面仍然吸引。
该行表示，由于铜的供应增长有限，加上精炼产出受压及传统需求动力复苏等因素，2026及2027年的基本面将继续支持价格。该行将今明两年的铜价预测各自上调3%，分别由每磅4.24及4.68美元，提高至4.37和4.8美元。
至于铝的需求表现不一，但供应受限，中国产量受限，其他地区的上行空间同样有限。瑞银将今明两年的铝价预测分别上调5%和2%，从每磅1.11及1.16美元，上调至1.17和1.18美元。
该行上调紫金矿业(02899,601899.SH)、洛阳钼业(03993,603993.SH)及江西铜业股份(00358)今年盈测4%、5%及5%，并将明年盈测调升9%、6%及5%。该行又将中国宏桥(01378)、中国铝业(02600)及天山铝业(002532.SZ)明年盈利预测上调5%至8%。
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