今日连续下跌的港股乳制品股拉升反弹,其中,中国飞鹤、蒙牛乳业涨3.36%,原生态牧业涨近2%,澳亚集团涨0.54%。
消息上,中信建投指出,从“喝奶”到“吃奶”,国内乳制品产业深加工品类发展进入新阶段,产业加快布局产能(未来产能预计超70万吨),借助低奶价与下游降本增效诉求,推动乳品深加工品牌与原料的国产化替代。B端深加工需求规模预计超260亿元,烘焙、现制饮品、西式快餐高景气带动B端需求持续高增长。国产品牌凭借产品性价比、本土供应链、市场服务等优势,看好国产深加工品类进入高增长阶段。
有分析称,经过一段时间的低位运行后,国内原奶价格出现触底反弹的迹象。供给端由于前期亏损导致奶牛存栏量下降,需求端随着消费复苏而改善,供需关系逐步走向平衡。

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