港股异动 | 光伏股尾盘跌幅扩大 机制电价竞价结果出台 机构称四季度光伏装机量或将大幅减速

智通财经
Sep 26

智通财经APP获悉,光伏股尾盘跌幅扩大,截至发稿,彩虹新能源(00438)跌5.16%,报2.39港元;新特能源(01799)跌3.73%,报7.99港元;福莱特玻璃(06865)跌3.36%,报11.23港元;信义光能(00968)跌2.63%,报3.33港元。

消息面上,近日,山东省发改委正式向社会公示山东2025年新能源机制电价竞价结果。其中光伏入选电量12.48亿千瓦时,中标价格为0.225元/千瓦时。新纪元期货指出,“5.31”新政前抢装潮过去以后,推进光伏电价的市场化改革,近期“反内卷”政策推动落后产能有序退出,四季度光伏装机量或将大幅减速。

中信期货则表示,供给端,8月多晶硅产量已经回升至13万吨以上,预计9月份多晶硅高产量将会维持,中长期来看需要关注反内卷政策是否会限制多晶硅的供应,如若政策迟迟未落地高供应将会持续。需求端,1-5月份光伏装机增速大幅度提高,累计增速150%,不过也透支了下半年装机的需求,6月份单月国内光伏装机仅只有14GW,7月份装机量进一步下降。考虑到下半年光伏装机的下降,以及电池片组件抢出口需求的弱化,多晶硅后续需求有继续走弱的风险。

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