金吾财讯 | 中信建投发研报指，随着市场高低切换，下半年国补落地、行业反内卷和新能源购置税退坡预期背景下，行业有望迎来“金九银十”行情。优质整车和绩优汽零标的alpha持续表现，或将迎来估值上修行情；此外，机器人板块近期产业化预期有所上修、宽流动性下仍具备β行情，但个股α大于β。乘用车板块：当前汽车行业反内卷利好强产品周期头部主机厂，自主高端品牌仍是蓝海市场，2026年将是30万元以上赛道加速自主渗透率提升的一年，新车产品力及品牌成为胜负手。在流动性充沛的情况下，关注汽车中的稀缺消费品（好格局）+边际改善的整车标的（好alpha）。机器人板块：T链和国产链（宇树、智元、58智能链等）共振。特斯拉Optimus产业链Tier1持续验证进度相对积极，我们维持今年底三代样机有望发布，明年Q1规模量产，下半年周度排产千台以上的预期。板块在新催化下产业趋势强化、宽松流动性下仍具备β行情，但产业链标的行情表现进一步进入“去伪存真”的验证阶段，个股α大于β，推荐特斯拉链、具备技术升级迭代的增量环节、有实质产品客户送样进展及预期差标的。
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