小摩:升龙源电力(00916)目标价至8.8港元 维持“增持”评级

智通财经
Sep 29, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,摩根大通发布研报称,上调龙源电力(00916)2025至2027财年盈利预测,以反映今年迄今的风力发电趋势及第二季度营运情况。新公布的2035年风能+太阳能容量目标3,600吉瓦提升了龙源电力的长期展望。电力价格监管及限电的不确定性可能改善,因监管机构试图吸引资本支出。基于0.85倍的目标市净率(原本0.75倍),小摩将龙源电力目标价上调16%至8.8港元;维持“增持”评级。

小摩表示,国家方面宣布,到2035年,中国风能及太阳能目标为3,600吉瓦,龙源电力作为中国容量最大的风电场营运商,将从容量增长中受益。风能/太阳能电场的电价监管存在不确定性,以及限电的周期性逆风。然而,随着监管机构的发展方向,小摩认为这些问题将有所改善,以吸引资本支出部署容量。结合2025年第二季度观察到的各种营运趋势,小摩将龙源电力2025至2027财年盈利预测上调5%至6%。

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