大行评级|美银:上调明年及2027年铜价预测 上调紫金矿业及洛阳钼业目标价

中金财经
Sep 29, 2025

  美银证券发表报告指,考虑到现时全球三大铜矿均出现经营问题,预计今明两年实际产量将低于原先预期,单单是格拉斯伯格矿区的停产就可能导致明年供应缺口扩大27万吨,与此同时欧洲需求见底回升,中国需求趋稳,铜供应面临压力,相应将明年及2027年铜价预测上调至每吨11313美元及13500美元。   该行将紫金矿业目标价由31港元上调至37港元,洛阳钼业目标价由14港元上调至16.5港元,同予“买入”评级;并将江西铜业的评级由“跑输大市”上调至“买入”,目标价从17港元一举升至31港元,认为其自产铜精矿、黄金及白银均能受惠于价格上行,加上当局日前宣布规范铜铝冶炼及锂产能政策,可能为江西铜业带来盈利上行空间。      【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱:news_center@staff.hexun.com   

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