光伏太阳能股部分走强 阳光能源(00757)涨6.19% 机构指光伏行业估值存在修复契机

金吾财讯
Oct 03

金吾财讯 | 光伏太阳能股部分走强,截至发稿,阳光能源(00757)涨6.19%,信义能源(03868)涨3.76%,新特能源(01799)涨3.62%,协鑫新能源(00451)涨3.49%,水发兴业能源(00750)涨1.75%,北京能源国际(00686)涨1.56%。消息面上,中原证券指出,9月,多晶硅料、硅片、电池和光伏组件价格均出现上涨,但上游价格涨幅高于下游。光伏玻璃受龙头企业减产,行业库存降低,供给量收缩等因素影响,价格逐步回暖。展望后市,前期抢装后整体市场乏力,集中式项目拉动装机需求,考虑到终端组件价格承接力度以及反内卷措施的影响,光伏产业链价格将趋于平稳。该行认为,围绕反内卷的产品销售价格措施、企业间并购整合、行业准入门槛的提高以及产品质量标准提高政策将会相继落地。光伏行业竞争格局和产业链生态有望优化,估值存在修复契机。国元国际发布研报称,总体来看,多晶硅价格短期以稳为主。后续走势主要取决于需求改善,以及四季度供给端减产政策的有效实施,进而带来供需格局的实质性改善。初步判断2026年行业有望回归正常盈利。中长期来看,头部公司技术成本能耗优势显著,将成为产能出清后的受益者。

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