金吾财讯 | 玖龙纸业(02689)股价受压，截至发稿，报5.43港元，跌3.38%，成交额3507.98万港元。美银证券表示，尽管玖纸自有纸浆产量将从2025财年的300万吨增至2026财年预估的470万吨，并于2027年后进一步提升，但单位成本降低及利润率扩张的效应可能减弱。为应对潜在的木片短缺，玖纸已租赁船只以便有必要时进口木片，且在可预见的未来采购成本可能微幅上升。该行预期玖纸将维持高于同业的美元计价利润，但进一步扩大此优势可能面临挑战。该行微幅下调玖纸2026至2027财年预测，并同步下调目标价8%至6港元。重申“买入”评级，因认为以7.4倍2026年预测市盈率计，估值具吸引力，且潜在需求加速可能推升利润率，成本优势亦有助限制盈利下行风险。
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