PriceSeek提醒:大庆页岩油探明储量新增1.58亿吨

生意社
Oct 11

  生意社10月11日讯从中国石油(601857)获悉,大庆古龙陆相页岩油国家级示范区新增1.58亿吨页岩油探明储量,为我国陆相页岩油开发突破提供关键支撑。

   PriceSeek评析

  原油,多空评分:-1

  该新闻报告中国大庆古龙陆相页岩油新增1.58亿吨探明储量,表明页岩油供应潜力增强,将促进未来中长期原油开采量提升,增加全球原油市场供应预期。作为大宗商品,原油现货价格可能因供应增加而承压下行。鉴于新增储量规模显著但并非立即投产(需多年开发),对当前现货市场影响为一般利空,评分-1。同时,作为期货品种(如布伦特原油期货),同样面临供应增加预期导致的远期价格下行压力,影响同步一致。

  【大宗商品公式定价原理】生意社基准价是基于价格大数据与生意社价格模型产生的交易指导价,又称生意社价格。可用于确定以下两种需求的交易结算价:

  1、指定日期的结算价

  2、指定周期的平均结算价

  定价公式:结算价=生意社基准价×K+C K:调整系数,包括账期成本等因素。

   C:升贴水,包括物流成本、品牌价差、区域价差等因素。

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