金吾财讯 | 必和必拓(BHP)盘前涨超1%，截至发稿，报56.72美元。中信期货点评：今日彭博社发布消息称，由于谈判陷入僵局，必和必拓与中国铁矿石贸易商之间的磋商可能将持续数月，甚至延续至2026年初。目前，BHP已售出大部分11月和12月交货的铁矿石，因此其发往中国的数量几乎未受影响。中方暂停采购所带来的影响，可能要等到BHP开始销售明年1月交货的矿石时才会逐步显现。据Mysteel统计，2024年BHP矿山（按100%权益计算）总发运量约为2.9亿吨，其中发往中国的约为2.5亿吨，约占其总发运量的86%，占中国47港铁矿石到港总量的19%。截至2025年10月3日，BHP矿山（按100%权益计算）已向中国发运1.89亿吨，同比减少315万吨。若彭博社报道属实，短期内BHP发运量所受影响预计较小，将维持在与去年同期相当的水平，该消息对盘面价格的影响也较为有限。后续需持续关注双方谈判的进展情况。
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.