周五(10月10日)夜盘,国内期市能化板块多数飘绿。其中,原油期货主力合约开盘报455.5元/桶,盘中低位震荡运行;截至收盘,原油主力最高触及457.3元,下方探低444.5元,跌幅达4.55%。
目前来看,原油行情呈现震荡下行走势,盘面表现偏弱。对于原油后市行情将如何运行,相关机构观点汇总如下:
交子期货表示,目前欧佩克增产背景下盘面利空主导市场,叠加巴以第一阶段停火协议压制,原油整体保持承压下行为主。短期空头趋势为主。
五矿期货认为尽管地缘溢价已经全部消散,OPEC虽做增产但量级极低,与此同时我们观测到OPEC供给仍未放量,因而油价短期仍然不宜过于看空。基于此我们维持对油价低多高抛的区间策略,但当前油价仍需测试OPEC的出口挺价意愿,建议短期观望为主,等待油价下跌时OPEC出口下滑做出验证。
冠通期货分析称,地缘风险未进一步升级,特朗普宣布以色列和哈马斯均已签署和平计划的第一阶段协议,欧盟制裁方案出台,消费旺季结束,美国非农就业数据疲软令市场担忧原油需求,OPEC+加速增产,伊拉克库尔德地区的原油出口有望恢复,中东地区出口增加。原油供需偏弱,建议仍以逢高做空为主。
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