Tiger Brokers

港股异动 | 水泥股全线回落 行业步入传统淡季 机构料四季度产能收缩有望加速

智通财经
Oct 13

智通财经APP获悉，水泥股全线回落，截至发稿，金隅集团(02009)跌5.49%，报0.86港元；西部水泥(02233)跌4.12%，报3.26港元；海螺水泥(00914)跌3.92%，报24港元；中国建材(03323)跌3.85%，报5.5港元；华新水泥(06655)跌1.59%，报16.73港元。

申万宏源研报指出，三季度是水泥行业传统淡季，2025年水泥价格前高后低。根据数字水泥网，25Q3水泥均价353.1元/吨，环比下降27.6元/吨，同比下降33.5元/吨，7-8月水泥产量分别同比下降5.5%、7.0%。水泥行业三季度盈利预计整体承压。9月24日，六部委联合发布《建材行业稳增长工作方案(2025—2026年)》，政策视角从收入端转移到利润端，进一步要求水泥行业2025年底之前完成超产指标处置。预计Q4将是补充产能指标的高峰期，行业产能收缩有望加速。

中国银河证券表示，后续来看，“金九银十”需求有望继续增长，但在终端市场疲软情况下，预计增幅有限；因考虑到冬季将迎来较长时间错峰停窑，且叠加当下需求边际改善，预计水泥企业将继续积极推涨水泥价格，此外，煤价存上涨预期，将进一步对水泥价格形成支撑。此外，该行认为，“反内卷”加速推进行业供给优化，供需矛盾有望缓和，水泥价格存推涨预期，区域龙头企业盈利有望修复。

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10