渣打与贸发局联合发布“渣打大湾区营商景气指数”，第三季“现状”及“预期”的子指数，分别升8.5点及7.3点，至52.2及53.6，均回升至中性线以上，分别创四年及两年高。
贸发局研究总监范婉儿称，指数上升主要受惠于提前付运持续和金融活动强劲。她指出，外贸窗口期至11月中旬，可覆盖整个年底节日旺季需求，但进口商已有一定库存，加上在高基数下，明年第二季出口按年或大幅下跌。
渣打大中华区经济师陈冠霖表示，该行预计今年本港经济增长2.2%，留意到7、8月本港经济回暖，尤其出口增长强劲，零售额连续四个月改善，加上楼市、股市表现不俗，均有助增强市民消费意欲。但他指，目前贸易战和外围环境仍不确定，待中美双方谈判有结果，才考虑调整预测。
美国联储局将于本月底议息，陈冠霖预料今年余下时间将有两次减息，各减0.25厘，但本港最优惠利率下行空间不大，因为已接近历史低位。他又预计，3个月HIBOR年底将维持于3.5厘，与当前水平相若，主要视乎银行流动性、市场资金需求、新股集资等因素。(ss/da)
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