中美紧张关系再度升温，摩根士丹利策略师威尔逊(Michael Wilson)在报告指出，一旦中美贸易紧张局势未能在11月最后期限前化解，美股可能面临最多下跌11%的风险。 大摩认为，监于投资者持仓水平偏高且估值处在高位，市场正处于回调临界点，而上周五(10日)贸易战的升级态势出乎市场共识和该行的预料。如果相关贸易不确定性或波动性持续至11月初，市场修正幅度可能超出多数预期。在悲观情景下，标普500指数可能跌至6027至5800点区间，意味着较上周五收市价将下跌8%-11%。 大摩重申，其基本预期是贸易紧张局势一旦缓解，经济将逐步复苏并延续至2026年。只要最终局势能得到缓和，这一论点就足够强大，足以抵御短期内的此类策略性贸易摩擦。
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