交易员开始押注美联储年底前至少会大幅降息一次

Blockbeats
Oct 16

BlockBeats 消息,10 月 16 日,交易员开始押注美联储年底前至少会大幅降息一次,笃定政策可能比其他市场观察人士目前的预期更为激进。

与担保隔夜融资利率(SOFR)挂钩的期权近期交易活动显示,市场正在加大对半个百分点降息的布局,可能发生在本月稍晚的会议或 12 月会议。这一预期超过了目前利率掉期中已计入的两次各 25 个基点的降息。

由于美国政府长时间停摆,关键的就业和其他经济数据发布被推迟。一旦僵局解决,大量数据将涌现,揭示经济状况的最新变化。一些人预计,这些数据可能进一步显示经济疲软,从而支持更多降息。(金十)

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