This Insurer Is Today's Worst Stock in the S&P 500. Here's Why. -- Barrons.com

Dow Jones
Oct 15

By Nate Wolf

Progressive was the worst performer in the S&P 500 Wednesday after the auto and property insurance company posted weaker-than-expected quarterly earnings.

The company reported earnings of $4.45 a share for the third quarter, below analysts' consensus call for $5.04. Net premiums written totaled $21.38 billion, up 10% from the prior year but below the $21.73 billion forecast by Wall Street. Net premiums earned also came in below expectations.

Progressive stock fell 9.2% to $218.36, putting the stock on pace for its lowest close since Aug. 8, 2024, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Progressive shares have fallen down 8.8% this year. The S&P 500 has risen more than 14%.

The company's results in September were particularly disappointing, with net income falling 48% from the previous year. A 2023 policy change in Florida that caps personal auto insurance profits was a key reason for the steep drop.

Progressive said its auto profits from 2023 to 2025 likely will exceed Florida's three-calendar-year limit by about $950 million. As a result, the company reported a policyholder credit expense for that amount in September, which weighed on profit.

Other insurance stocks also declined Wednesday. Allstate dropped 3.7%, Travelers fell 2.2%, and Chubb fell 1.2%.

Write to Nate Wolf at nate.wolf@barrons.com

This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

 

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October 15, 2025 10:35 ET (14:35 GMT)

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