机构:鲍威尔暗示可能再次降息,因疲软的招聘令失业率上升

Blockbeats
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BlockBeats 消息,10 月 15 日,美联储主席鲍威尔暗示,虽然政府关门大幅削弱了其对经济的观察能力,但美联储正按计划在本月晚些时候再次降息 25 个基点。鲍威尔在讲话中表示,自 9 月会议以来,经济前景似乎没有变化。当时美联储下调了利率,并预测今年还会再降两次。

MacroPolicy Perspectives 创始人、前美联储经济学家 Julia Coronado 说,“10 月份的降息已板上钉钉。没有什么能改变劳动力市场仍存在下行风险的观点。”鲍威尔曾多次指出招聘速度较低,并可能进一步走弱。在鲍威尔发表讲话后,对 10 月降息的预期几乎没有变化。联邦基金期货合约显示,投资者认为降息的可能性接近 100%。世界大型企业联合会资深美国经济学家 Yelena Shulyatyeva 表示:“目前,就业方面的风险正在上升。这将成为近期决策的主要驱动因素。”(金十)

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