国泰海通:中国科技资产成外资加仓共识

格隆汇
Oct 17

三季度以来,伴随算力需求的迅猛式增长,叠加AI叙事强化使得应用端回暖预期增强,AI产业趋势进一步得到深化,AH股科技指数在此期间表现亮眼。在此背景下,三季度AH股外资有何动向?

港股方面,外资三季度曾阶段性流入港股,整体仍流出港股约841亿港元,较Q2流出幅度明显改善,其中Q3长线稳定型外资仍为主要流出项。结构上,外资Q3主要流入港股软件服务(稳定型外资流入172亿港元,灵活型外资流入47亿港元,下同)、硬件设备(36亿港元、105亿港元)等科技板块,主要流出可选消费零售(-472亿港元、-494亿港元)、非银金融(-179亿港元、-209亿港元)、银行(-17亿港元、-245亿港元)等红利与消费板块。

A股方面,据2025Q3陆股通持股数据,Q3北向资金整体流出1582亿元,若剔除中资托管资金,Q3外资整体小幅流出约203亿元,其中长线稳定型外资流出约1202亿元,短线灵活型外资流入约999亿元。结构上,与港股相一致,外资Q3同样增配A股泛科技资产,如新能源(稳定型外资、灵活型外资分别较Q2超配比例环比上升3.6个百分点、1.1个百分点,下同)、电子(2.3个百分点、1.2个百分点)、机械(0.7个百分点、0.8个百分点)等,减配银行(-2.3个百分点、-2.3个百分点)、食饮(-1.4个百分点、-1.2个百分点)等板块。

风险提示:部分资金数据为估算值,与真实情况或有出入。

注:本文来自国泰海通证券发布的《2025Q3股市外资季度动向跟踪:中国科技资产成外资加仓共识》,报告分析师:吴信坤、余培仪、陆嘉瑞

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