BlockBeats 消息,10 月 17 日,周五,日元继续走强,使得美元兑日元跌落 150 关口,从八个月来的最高点下滑,原因在于两家美国银行出现不良贷款,推动了全球对避险资产的需求。
日元在周五的表现优于大多数十国集团的同行,截止发稿前,美元兑日元跌超 0.5%,至 149.63 附近,为 10 月 6 日以来的最低水平。瑞郎同样走高,而美元和美国国债收益率则在区域性银行股的抛售潮中双双下挫。
策略师 Mark Cranfield 指出,回顾 2023 年的外汇交易员会注意到,在当时的区域性银行业危机期间,美元兑日元汇率从高点到低点下跌了约 800 点。如果这次出现类似情况,意味着该货币对本月将跌向 146 的区间低点。关键驱动因素再次是美国国债收益率的暴跌,2 年期美债收益率已跌至三年前的水平。随着交易员们定价美联储目标利率将达到 3% 的区域,下行方面仍有充足的超调空间。(金十)
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