【券商聚焦】交银国际维持九毛九(09922)中性评级 指短期太二门店升级带来的同店回暖仍是核心观察点

金吾财讯
Oct 17

金吾财讯 | 交银国际研报指,九毛九(09922)3季度同店销售仍然承压,但修复迹象初步显现:太二/怂火锅/九毛九2025年3季度同店日均销售额分别同比下降9.3%/19.1%/14.8%。尽管同店仍为负增长,但太二和九毛九的降幅环比2季度收窄,太二已连续三个季度改善,反映出经营调整措施的初步成效。公司表示太二在北京、上海等城市的同店销售已于第3季度实现同比正增长,成为短期亮点。公司门店优化加速,运营效率边际改善,客单价趋于稳定:截至9月底,公司总门店数为686家,较2季度末净减少43家。门店减少主要来自公司对低效门店的调整,其中太二门店净减少36家。3季度,太二/怂/九毛九的翻台率分别为3.3/2.4/2.5,虽低于去年同期,但环比小幅回升。客单价保持大致平稳趋势,3季度太二(中国内地)环比小幅下降1元,怂火锅/九毛九客单价分别环比回升2/1元。考虑到目前同店修复节奏,该机构小幅下调2025-27年收入预测至55.563.2亿元,净利润预测下调至1.4-3.0亿元人民币。该机构基于16倍2026年预测市盈率(原19倍),给予目标价2.32港元(原2.79港元),维持中性评级。短期看,太二门店升级带来的同店回暖仍是核心观察点,建议密切关注4季度新模型推广和成本控制。

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