The Insider Report: Are Bears Getting Ready to Hibernate?

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Oct 19

It was one of the most tense weeks in markets in months. Despite all the noise, stocks finished higher across the board, with the Nasdaq leading to the upside. The tech-heavy index closed up 2.14%, ...

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Despite all the noise, stocks finished higher across the board, with the Nasdaq leading to the upside. The tech-heavy index closed up 2.14%, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/Opinion/25/10/48293512/the-insider-report-are-bears-getting-ready-to-hibernate\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"benzinga_recent_news","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Insider Report: Are Bears Getting Ready to Hibernate?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Insider Report: Are Bears Getting Ready to Hibernate?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-10-19 21:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/Opinion/25/10/48293512/the-insider-report-are-bears-getting-ready-to-hibernate><strong>Benzinga_recent_news</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It was one of the most tense weeks in markets in months. Despite all the noise, stocks finished higher across the board, with the Nasdaq leading to the upside. The tech-heavy index closed up 2.14%, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/Opinion/25/10/48293512/the-insider-report-are-bears-getting-ready-to-hibernate\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4550","symbol_name":"红杉资本持仓","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/Opinion/25/10/48293512/the-insider-report-are-bears-getting-ready-to-hibernate","article_id":"2576793960","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://cdn.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/10/19/Trading-Market-Concept-With-Financial-Gr.jpeg?optimize=medium&dpr=2&auto=webp&width=240"],"rights":{"source":"benzinga_recent_news","url":"https://www.benzinga.com/Opinion/25/10/48293512/the-insider-report-are-bears-getting-ready-to-hibernate","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2576793960","pubTimestamp":1760879040,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"benzinga_recent_news","name":"Benzinga"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"It was one of the most tense weeks in markets in months. Despite all the noise, stocks finished higher across the board, with the Nasdaq leading to the upside. The tech-heavy index closed up 2.14%, while the S&P 500 finished up 1.70% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 1.56%. Precious metals hit new record highs, but odds are mounting that the blow off top is complete. Meanwhile, there appears to be a tremendous dip buying opportunity in crypto. There was a lot of fuss about volatility but it could have corresponded to a complete momentum and sentiment reset. Get ready for some real fireworks.All it took was a one day drop. We got the momentum reset. Fear is the predominant emotion in the tape right now, and all it took was a major misunderstanding about trade negotiations with China in order to cause this major shift.If anything, lower rates should be a tailwind for the tech sector  and consumer discretionary . All of this price action just seems like a giant rotation, and for tho","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"benzinga.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4588":"碎股","EZET":"以太坊ETF-Franklin","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","XLY":"消费品指数ETF-SPDR可选消费品","BK4601":"加密货币现货ETF","XLK":"高科技指数ETF-SPDR","FETH":"以太币ETF-Fidelity","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","ETHV":"以太坊ETF-VanEck","QETH":"以太坊ETF-Invesco Galaxy","XLRE":"Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund","OEX":"标普100","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","CETH":"以太坊ETF-21Shares","XLU":"公共事业指数ETF-SPDR","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","XLE":"SPDR能源指数ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","DBC":"商品指数ETF-PowerShares DB","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓"},"translate_title":"内幕报道：熊准备好冬眠了吗？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.6,"CETH":0.69,"DBC":1,"ETHV":0.69,"EZET":0.69,"FETH":0.69,"ESmain":0.6,"MESmain":0.6,"IEI":1,"IVV":0.6,"LQD":1,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"QETH":0.69,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SPY":1,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"XLE":1,"XLK":1,"XLRE":1,"XLU":1,"XLY":1},"content_text":"It was one of the most tense weeks in markets in months. Despite all the noise, stocks finished higher across the board, with the Nasdaq leading to the upside. The tech-heavy index closed up 2.14%, while the S&P 500 finished up 1.70% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 1.56%. Precious metals hit new record highs, but odds are mounting that the blow off top is complete. Meanwhile, there appears to be a tremendous dip buying opportunity in crypto. There was a lot of fuss about volatility but it could have corresponded to a complete momentum and sentiment reset. Get ready for some real fireworks.\nAll it took was a one day drop. We got the momentum reset. Fear is the predominant emotion in the tape right now, and all it took was a major misunderstanding about trade negotiations with China in order to cause this major shift.\nI always like to say that sentiment follows price, not the other way around. Stocks are a week off the all-time high, and we haven't even hit a new low in prices yet. Even so, the number of bears climbed significantly across various sentiment surveys.\nThis creates a perfect backdrop for the market to complete another low. Remember that there are bullish seasonal factors coming into play now as well. It's a pretty good combination of factors that are pointing to another reversal and a rally back to new all-time highs sooner than later.\nWe're going on more than two weeks so far on this government shutdown, and it doesn't seem like much progress is happening. Historical cases of government shutdowns have been generally bullish for stocks, but it's good to bring up the 2018 example.\nGranted, 2018 was a mid-term year, and we're not in one now. But Trump was president then too, and it coincided with a sharp correction into the infamous Christmas Eve low of 2018. This then kickstarted a soaring market into 2019.\nDoes this same script play out this time? It never follows it exactly. All we can do is focus on the strongest stocks in the strongest sectors, and focus on managing risk. Don't worry so much about selling the absolute high or buying the absolute low.\nThere is so much noise in the tape right now, it's truly remarkable. But when we zoom out and look at the money flows, we don't see any significant changes in the tape. In other words, bears aren't asserting themselves, which begs the question – is this a giant overreaction?\nTechnology (XLK) is still, by far and away, the top performing sector going back to the April lows. In fact, the only real change from last week is that real estate (XLRE) overtook energy (XLE) in terms of performance from April. The only signal that represents is rates going lower.\nIf anything, lower rates should be a tailwind for the tech sector (XLK) and consumer discretionary (XLY). All of this price action just seems like a giant rotation, and for those that are overleveraged, it's very painful.\nEditor's Note: Real estate popping into one-week leader signals lower rates are on the horizon.\nPower and nuclear stocks have become the talk of the trading town in recent weeks, as the utilities (XLU) sector is neck and neck against the tech sector (XLK) in terms of outperformance year-to-date.\nThe consequences of this are profound, because utilities outperforming often signals that downside risks are creeping into the market. At least, this was the traditional read on this money flow. Could it have evolved to adapt to the modern AI economy? It's a conversation worth having.\nFortunately for bulls, the trend in this ratio is still very much in favor of technology (XLK), as seen by the series of lower-lows and lower-highs. As long as this ratio stays below the downward sloping trendline, I'll continue to favor tech over utilities.\nWith more rate cuts coming, it's more important than ever to keep a close watch on the commodities (DBC) sector, especially compared against the S&P 500 (SPY). This is a key ratio to watch when it comes to inflationary momentum.\nBasically, when DBC is outperforming SPY and the ratio is rising, it means that inflationary pressures are accelerating to the upside. You can still have inflation when this ratio is falling, but it won't be accelerating.\nThis is exactly what we've had lately – disinflation. When inflation is not accelerating, but still present, stocks offer the best refuge to protect and even grow your wealth, but when inflation starts running hot again, stocks turn volatile and it's important to hide in commodities.\nFed Chair Powell gave us a pretty big signal last week when he said the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT) was here. Bond markets have been holding up pretty well, and it's important to remember that the first rate cut technically happened in the summer of 2024.\nIt's time to check back in on the ratio between investment-grade corporate debt (LQD) and 3-7 Year Treasuries (IEI). As a reminder, we want to see LQD outperforming IEI – it signals that markets are willing to avoid the \"safety\" of Treasuries and reward risk-taking.\nI've been tracking the rounding bottom formation in this chart for a couple of years now. The fact that it's been going on so long suggests that a monumental move will come out of this breakout. We just need to close above the upper horizontal trendline acting as resistance.\nWhen liquidity conditions improve, you're just not going to get big market crashes. Yes, you'll get quick, sharp reversals that don't last, but most of the time, the declines are very slow and drawn out.\nThis is why I'm so excited about the recent volatility. It shook out the excess leverage, it reset sentiment, and now, we're seeing the right leadership come out of this low. It looks like seasonality is going to start taking over here soon too, which should be bullish.\nTime to have another look at Ethereum. It's crazy to think that this cryptocurrency has been correcting from its all-time high for the past two months. Prices dropped to a multi-month low a couple weeks back, but held support nicely in the 3300-3400 zone.\nPrices are back in the 4000-4200 zone. This is resistance near-term, but the more we see Ethereum test this zone, the more likely it is to break. Despite the lower-lows and lower-highs over the past couple months, I'm most keen on Ethereum holding above the August 3 low at 3355.\nI'm eyeing the descending price channel setup on Ethereum's chart. This is a continuation pattern, and if we see a rally back above the upper trendline of the channel, it would signal that a rally up to 5700-5800 is starting.\nLegal Disclosures:\nThis communication is provided for information purposes only. \nThis communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, from sources believed to be reliable, but Benzinga does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to Benzinga and/or its affiliates and an analyst’s involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. 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