港股异动 | 内银股延续近期上涨 邮储银行(01658)涨超3% 大摩称后续多个催化剂支撑银行重估

智通财经
Oct 23, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,内银股延续近期上涨,截至发稿,邮储银行(01658)涨3.3%,报5.63港元;农业银行(01288)涨2.05%,报5.97港元;工商银行(01398)涨1.34%,报6.04港元;中国银行(03988)涨1.15%,报4.41港元。

消息面上,摩根士丹利最新研报称,国内银行股即将在三季度完成周期触底。这是中国金融体系首次在没有大规模刺激政策下实现的"自然周期性触底"——M1增速反弹、工业企业利润改善均在无重大刺激下完成。该行指出,第四季度即将到来的股息派发、利率企稳、5000亿元人民币结构性金融政策工具支撑,以及更可持续的政策路径,都将支撑银行股重估。

光大证券指出,银行经营业绩韧性较强,上市银行三季报行将发布,预估1-3Q营收增速季环比大体持平,盈利增速季环比小幅改善,全年业绩具有稳定基础;经过25Q3以来阶段性调整,银行板块“高股息、低估值”属性再度凸显,以AH同步上市银行中,港股银行比价优势相对更明显;中美博弈带来避险情绪升温,银行板块防御属性对资金吸引力增强,同时,保险、AMC、产业资本等资金对银行股仍有持续配置诉求。

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