富达国际全球宏观与战略资产配置主管Salman Ahmed表示,受对财政赤字以及美联储独立性的担忧影响,美国长期国债依然脆弱。
他称,“我们担心的是曲线的30年期这一段”,他尤其对长期债券可能下跌的速度之快感到担忧,可在短短几天内就把收益率推高25至30个基点。
Ahmed补充说,如果劳动力市场持续走弱,共和党可能实施财政支持,加大长期国债面临的阻力。
他指出,尽管市场波动性开始回落,但实际利率仍处于“非常高,且顽固的水平”。
Ahmed更看好短至中期的高收益债券,而非投资级信用债;后者更容易受到政府债券潜在波动的冲击。
责任编辑:刘明亮
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