周三，华东拉丝主流在6500-6600元/吨，油制PP毛利-273.92元/吨，煤制PP生产毛利-331.2元/吨，甲醇制PP生产毛利-1139.33元/吨，丙烷脱氢制PP生产毛利-397.27元/吨，外采丙烯制PP生产毛利-293.83元/吨。PE方面，HDPE薄膜价格在7978元/吨，LDPE薄膜价格在9284元/吨，LLDPE薄膜价格在7197元/吨；利润端，油制聚乙烯市场毛利为-52元/吨；煤制聚乙烯市场毛利为131元/吨。供应方面，短期产量将维持高位，需求方面，虽然10月下游订单仍有支撑，但边际增量将逐步下降。综合来看，短期原油反弹对估值形成支撑，因此聚烯烃价格有一定反弹，但基本面驱动边际走弱，预计聚烯烃价格将进入震荡阶段。
（文章来源：光大期货）
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