【券商聚焦】摩根大通削甲骨文(ORCL)至“中性”评级 指公司融资策略的能见度有限

金吾财讯
Oct 21

金吾财讯 | 摩根大通研究报告指出,甲骨文(ORCL)正快速扩展其云端容量,大力投资下一代数据中心,并深化与关键AI模型开发商和寻求算力企业的合作关系。管理层将AI视为转型增长的驱动力,相信能重振甲骨文的云端收入增长轨迹、提升其基础设施资产的利用率,并强化对超大规模同业的竞争定位。然而,有关策略涉及大量的前期资本开支和执行风险,需要严谨的融资和资产负债表管理,以确保长期价值创造,从而避免损害信用品质。甲骨文新组建的管理团队近期概述雄心勃勃的长期目标,包括2030年实现1,660亿美元云端基础设施收入,代表着五年年均复合增长率达75%。公司也指引AI产品的毛利率将达30%至40%,缓解先前报告盈利能力较低所引发的担忧。虽然摩通承认甲骨文有实现其计划的潜力,但监于公司庞大的资本需求,以及对其融资策略的能见度有限,摩通将甲骨文评级从“增持”降至“中性”。

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