China Auto Sector Faces Short-Term Gains, Long-Term Risks Amid Geopolitical Tensions -- Market Talk

Dow Jones
Oct 28, 2025

0348 GMT - China's auto sector faces short-term gains but long-term risks amid escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and the Dutch government's seizure of Chinese-owned chip maker Nexperia, UOB Kay Hian analysts say in a note. China's rare-earth curbs and retaliatory export controls on Nexperia may help domestic carmakers gain market share, but overseas plants could face disruptions. These may be eased by producing parts with rare earth in China for assembly abroad, though tariffs could lift costs and curb exports, flattening 2026 growth. Auto-parts makers' 4Q net profits could fall 2%-11% on revenue declining 10% amid weaker overseas demand. UOB keeps the sector's market-weight rating, favoring CATL and Geely for innovation; BYD and Li Auto are top sells amid peaking sales and margin pressure. (jason.chau@wsj.com)

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

October 27, 2025 23:48 ET (03:48 GMT)

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