光伏太阳能股部分走强福莱特玻璃(06865)涨10.81% 机构指反内卷成为当前行业核心矛盾看好新技术迭代方向

金吾财讯

Oct 28

金吾财讯 | 光伏太阳能股部分走强，截至发稿，福莱特玻璃(06865)涨10.81%，信义光能(00968)涨4.56%，阳光能源(00757)涨3.03%，新特能源(01799)涨2.01%，凯盛新能(01108)涨1.45%。消息面上，硅业分会分析认为，四季度国内多晶硅产量预计在38.2万吨左右，同比小幅增加3%。预计2025年，全年国内多晶硅产量约134万吨，同比大幅减少27.3%，与同期需求相比略显过剩，全年累库量预计在2万吨左右。整体来看，多晶硅行业仍处于产业结构重塑的关键时期，产业政策、市场预期成为短期内支撑多晶硅市场平稳运行的主要因素。中信建投发布研究报告称，光伏产业链目前仍处于供需失衡状态，行业后续核心矛盾仍在于反内卷推动产能出清。光伏反内卷目前主要包括整治低于成本价销售、产能整合及淘汰落后产能。整治低于成本价销售已取得显著成效，硅料、硅片、电池价格逐步上涨，组件价格短期涨幅有限，后续顺价情况需要重点关注。产能出清方面，多晶硅能耗新标准明显收紧，预计后续可能是产能出清的重要手段。短期重点关注产能整合以及行业联合控产力度，中信建投认为行业供需扭转仍需要看到产能政策力度超预期，板块内部看好头部主材企业，以及新技术方向(BC、TOPCon3.0、浆料)。

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