【券商聚焦】国泰海通维持滔搏(06110)“增持”评级 指公司夯实主力品牌运营 加快对细分景气赛道布局

金吾财讯
Oct 27, 2025

金吾财讯 | 国泰海通证券发研报指,滔搏(06110)FY26H1(25年3-8月)公司收入123.0亿元,同比下降5.8%;毛利率41.0%,同比微降0.1pct;归母净利润7.9亿元,同比下降9.7%;归母净利率6.4%,同比下降0.3pct。毛利率基本企稳,降幅环比FY25H1/H2(-3.7/-2.9pct)大幅收窄,线上渠道占比提升仍对毛利率产生拖累,但被零售占比提升、品牌伙伴支持、存货减值拨备影响降低所正面抵消。销售/管理费用率同比-0.2/+0.3pct,管控良好,政府补助降低对净利率产生拖累。主力品牌降幅收窄,存货水位下降。分品牌来看,期内主力品牌/其他品牌收入分别为108.1/14.1亿元,同比分别下降4.8%/12.2%,主力品牌收入降幅同比去年同期(-8.1%)收窄。分渠道来看,期内直营/批发渠道收入分别为106.0/16.2亿元,同比分别下降3.0%/20.3%,其中线上渠道双位数增长,线下同店客流下滑双位数。FY26Q2公司全渠道流水同比下跌高单位数,跌幅环比Q1(下跌中单位数)扩大。FY26H1公司直营门店净关332家,期末4688家,公司指引下半年净关数量将少于上半年。期末存货58.3亿元,同比下降4.7%;存货周转天数150天,同比略增1.7天。公司宣派中期股息0.13元每股,派息比率102%,中期股息率4.1%。公司夯实主力品牌运营,加快对细分景气赛道布局,精细化发展全域零售,优化运营效率,现金流充沛,保持行业领先派息水平。该机构预计FY2026/27/28公司归母净利润分别为13.1/15.2/18.0亿元,给予FY2027PE15X,按照1港元=0.92人民币换算,对应目标价3.99港元/股,维持“增持”评级。

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