瑞银:首予再鼎医药(09688)“买入”评级 近期具明确催化剂但被低估

智通财经
Oct 27, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报称,基于现金流折现法(DCF),对再鼎医药(09688)目标价为33.5港元,分别意味着1倍、1.6倍未调整/调整后价格对高峰销售。瑞银认为,市场似乎忽略了再鼎医药的短期增长潜力,包括VYVGART及新产品推出,以及DLL3ADC及ZL-1503(IL-13/IL-31R)等产品的业务发展潜力。瑞银预期,集团核心产品VYVGART将持续扩展适应症并提升销售额,同时预期数个重磅候选药物产品将获批;认为ZL-1310(DLL3ADC)及ZL-1503(IL-13/IL-31R)的业务发展(BD)机会,将为近期增长动力;并相信市场似乎忽略了集团短期增长及业务发展潜力,首次覆盖该股,给予“买入”评级。

瑞银相信再鼎医药已商业化的药物VYVGART是同类首创的FcRn药物,并有潜力成为免疫学领域的重磅药物;预测VYVGART在中国的高峰销售额将达到18亿美元。对于产品线候选药物,认为潜在重磅药物可能包括:用于胃癌的Bemarituzumab(FGFR2b)、用于自身免疫疾病的Povetacicept(BAFF/APRIL)、新授权引进的候选药物VRDN-003(IGF-1R)用于甲状腺眼病,以及用于思觉失调的KarXT。

瑞银相信,再鼎医药透过收入增长及营运效率改善,将在近期实现盈利,公司亦指引预计2025第四季度实现非公认会计准则(non-GAAP)营运收支平衡,以及2026年全年非公认会计准则营运收支平衡。就毛利率而言,瑞银认为本地制造、VYVGART因产能扩张而降低的销货成本,以及潜在全球产品推出,将改善综合毛利率。就开支而言,公司指引透过优先高价值项目,限制研发开支增长,而销售、一般及行政开支的增长温和。

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