塑料PP:聚烯烃价格进入震荡阶段

市场资讯
Oct 25, 2025

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  来源:华安期货投研

  塑料PP

  核心逻辑:

  1、供应面:PE供应据隆众资讯,市场供应涉及茂名石化、抚顺石化等装置计划重启,仅新增中原石化计划检修装置,总体预期增加;PP供应据金联创,下期广东石化全密度一线、中原石化线性、兰州石化高压装置计划内检修将一定程度对冲供应压力,但考虑到前期停车装置重启以及广西石化新产能投产,预计整体供应充足。

  2、需求面:PE当前棚膜处于生产旺季,自北向南的生产节奏带动订单稳步累积,推动行业开工率继续小幅上升;PP需求端延续走高。市场刚需支撑下游工厂开工,短线需求维持缓慢跟进,不足以支撑庞大供应量。

  3、成本支撑增强。美国加码对俄罗斯的制裁。叠加市场对贸易争端的忧虑缓和,美国商业原油库存下降,均给予油价支撑;丙烷受原油影响,短期PDH制成本支撑有抬升机会。

  市场展望:震荡

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责任编辑:赵思远

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