ICF Expects The Year-on-year Decline In Q4 Revenues And Adjusted EPS Would Be Similar To What Was Reported For Q3. The Company Revised Operating Cash Flow Estimate For 2025 To Range From $125M-$150M

Benzinga
Oct 31, 2025

Summary and Outlook

"Year-to-date results have put us on track for our 2025 results to be within the guidance framework we provided at the beginning of this year, which stated that a 10% decline in revenues, GAAP EPS and Non-GAAP EPS from 2024 levels was the maximum downside risk we foresaw from the loss of business primarily from federal government clients during this transition year. At that time, we stated that our guidance framework did not consider the potential impact of an extended government shutdown. In the month of October, we estimate that ICF's revenues will be reduced by approximately $8 million and gross profit by approximately $2.5 million as a result of the current government shutdown. Based on this monthly impact continuing, we are pleased to be able to maintain our original guidance framework for revenues and Non-GAAP EPS even if the government shutdown extends through the end of the year. Given these assumptions, we expect the year-on-year decline in fourth quarter revenues and Non-GAAP EPS would be similar to what was reported for the third quarter. We are revising our operating cash flow estimate for 2025 to range from $125 million to $150 million to reflect the timing of payments as a result of the government shutdown.

"Looking ahead, we continue to be confident in our ability to return to revenue and earnings growth in 2026. This outlook is supported by the continued growth from our non-federal government clients, improvement from portions of our federal government business, recent contract wins and a robust pipeline of opportunities. Additionally, our professional staff has been instrumental in helping us navigate difficult business conditions, and their ongoing commitment to ICF and our clients underpins our ability to drive long-term growth," Mr. Wasson concluded.

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