高盛:百威亚太(01876)上季中国业务表现优于预期 印度与韩国表现强劲

智通财经
Oct 30

智通财经APP获悉,高盛发布研报称,百威亚太(01876)亚太东区第三季收入表现较预期强劲。收入有机计算同比增长3.9%,EBITDA有机计算同比增长8.7%,对比该行预期为销售额同比增1.1%及EBITDA同比增7.0%(有机计算)。南韩市场表现优于整体市场,销量大致持平,平均售价因收入管理措施及持续推出新产品而实现中单位数同比增长。评级“买入”,目标价8.9港元。

高盛表示,百威亚太2025年第三季度有机销售额同比下跌8.4%,优于高盛预期的同比跌12.6%;标准化EBITDA为4.38亿美元,有机计算同比跌6.9%,优于该行预期的4.01亿美元(有机计算同比跌15.8%),并高于市场共识预期的4.07亿美元。报告的标准化EBITDA利润率为28%,对比该行预期为26.9%。集团层面EBIT有机计算同比下跌6.1%,而标准化净利润为2.04亿美元,同比跌9.3%(计入外汇影响后),优于该行预期的1.82亿美元(同比跌19.1%)及市场共识预期的1.746亿美元。第三季净利润为1.85亿美元,同比下跌8%,主要因收入疲弱所致。

高盛指出,百威亚太亚太西区受印度市场强劲表现带动,中国市场表现优于忧虑。亚太西区收入同比跌12%,EBITDA有机计算同比跌11.9%,优于该行预期的销售额同比跌16.5%及EBITDA同比跌23%。中国市场收入有机计算同比跌15.1%,EBITDA有机计算同比跌17.4%,表现领先该行预期的同比跌17.9%及26%;平均售价同比跌4.1%,销量同比跌11.4%,其中家庭内消费有所扩张,但不利的品牌组合因去库存化所致。印度市场实现双位数收入增长,并在低基数上实现显著的EBITDA利润率扩张。

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