华兴证券:维持呷哺呷哺(00520)“持有”评级 目标价1港元

智通财经
Oct 31, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,华兴证券发布研报称,维持呷哺呷哺(00520)“持有”评级,目标价1.00港元,对应0.2倍2026年P/S。该行预计2025-27年公司营收分别同比-15.0%/ +3.0%/ +2.0%至40.4/ 41.6/ 42.5亿元;预计2025/26年归母净亏损分别145/66百万元,并于27年实现归母净利润~240万元。

呷哺呷哺品牌门店数量至2020年达到顶峰的1,061家之后开始收缩,并于2024年见底于760家,1H25门店数量刚开始净增,达到了763家。该行认为,如果后续呷哺门店数量继续净增加,或者维稳于1H25的水平,均代表阶段性调整已经完成,可以关注呷哺呷哺后续的发展。至于凑凑品牌,2023年品牌达到顶峰的257家,之后开始收缩,2024年品牌门店数量收缩至197家,随后于1H25进一步收缩至174家,该行认为凑凑品牌的店铺数量还未见底,可以关注品牌的后续发展。当凑凑品牌见底回升之后,或许也是公司基本面改善之时,历史上来看,基本面见底之后,也就是未来边际改善的概率要远高于边际持续下降的风险之后,公司可能存在潜在的投资机会,该行建议持续关注。

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