大摩:料香港10月零售销售同比升4% 九龙仓置业(01997)及希慎兴业(00014)或受惠

智通财经
Yesterday

智通财经APP获悉,摩根士丹利发布研报称,9月香港零售销售同比升5.9%至313亿元,高于该行预测增长2%及市场共识预测增长2.6%。最近数月正面增长可能显示市场正在触底。大摩表示,今年首九个月累计零售销售跌幅进一步收窄至同比跌1%;大摩将全年预测上调至同比减2%,原预期跌5%;尽管10月内地访客同比升11%,惟因第四季出境旅游增加及失业率上升可能影响消费,故大摩维持保守立场。

大摩认为,零售收租股如九龙仓置业(01997)与希慎兴业(00014)可能受惠,其股息率达1.7%至2.7%,高于美国10年期国债收益率。大摩预测,香港10月零售销售同比升4%,主要受8天国庆黄金周假期带动访客人数增加,但部分被公众假期更多外出旅游增加所抵销。

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