美联储古尔斯比:缺乏可靠的通胀数据,应对降息保持谨慎

Blockbeats
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BlockBeats 消息,11 月 6 日,美联储古尔斯比周四表示,在政府停摆期间缺乏官方通胀数据,这“更加凸显了”他对进一步降息所持的谨慎态度。古尔斯比在接受采访时说:“我的倾向是,当前方仍是一片雾蒙蒙时,就应该更加小心,放慢速度。”古尔斯比指出,美联储仍可获取多种关于就业市场的私人数据,包括芝加哥联储新推出的双周失业率估算。最新数据显示,10 月失业率可能上升至 4.4%,为四年来的最高水平。

他表示,这一估算结果以及其他多数劳动力市场指标都显示出“就业市场仍相当稳定”。“如果劳动力市场开始恶化,我们几乎可以立即看到迹象。”不过,他也提到,关于通胀的替代数据来源非常有限。而在政府暂停发布经济数据之前,统计数据显示通胀正出现回升迹象。他说“如果通胀出现问题,实际上不会有相应的观测数据能反映出来,这更加让我在提前降息方面保持谨慎。”(金十)

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