Nitrogen products maker CF Industries' Q3 revenue slightly beats estimates on strong demand

Reuters
Nov 06, 2025
Nitrogen products maker CF Industries' Q3 revenue slightly beats estimates on strong demand

Overview

  • CF Industries Q3 revenue slightly beats analyst expectations, driven by strong nitrogen demand

  • The hydrogen and nitrogen products maker completed $3 bln share repurchase program, commenced new $2 bln program

  • Net earnings for Q3 2025 were $353 mln, adjusted EBITDA was $667 mln

Outlook

  • Company expects strong global nitrogen demand through end of 2025 and into 2026

  • CF Industries anticipates growing demand for low-carbon ammonia in 2026

  • Company projects constructive nitrogen supply-demand balance due to low inventories

Result Drivers

  • STRONG NITROGEN DEMAND - Co attributes higher selling prices to strong global nitrogen demand and supply disruptions

  • LOW-CARBON AMMONIA SALES - Co began selling premium low-carbon ammonia, contributing to revenue

Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Sales

Slight Beat*

$1.66 bln

$1.65 bln (9 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

$2.19

Q3 Net Income

$353 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBITDA

$667 mln

Q3 Capex

$347 mln

Q3 EBITDA

$671 mln

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.

Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 4 "strong buy" or "buy", 15 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the agricultural chemicals peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for CF Industries Holdings Inc is $95.00, about 11% above its November 4 closing price of $84.55

  • The stock recently traded at 12 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 13 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nBw7PnJbHa

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(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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