BlockBeats 消息,11 月 6 日,桥水基金创始人达利欧发文表示,美联储过去的量化宽松是“对萧条的刺激”,现在的量化宽松是“对泡沫的刺激”。当美债的供应大于需求,且美联储正在“印钞”并购买债券,同时财政部正在缩短所出售债务的期限以弥补长期债券的需求不足时,这些都是经典“大债务周期”晚期阶段的动态。
由于美国政府政策的财政侧现在具有高度刺激性(归因于巨大的现有未偿债务和巨额赤字,并通过大规模的国债发行来融资,尤其是在相对较短的期限内),量化宽松将有效地将政府债务货币化,而不是简单地为私人系统重新注入流动性。
这就是当前正在发生的事情的不同之处,其方式似乎使其更危险、更具通胀性。这看起来像是一个大胆而危险的“豪赌”,赌的是增长,尤其是人工智能带来的增长,而这种增长是通过财政政策、货币政策和监管政策的非常自由的宽松来融资的。我们将不得不密切监测,才能妥善应对。(金十)
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