交银国际:上调新东方-S(09901)港股目标价至55港元 维持“买入”评级

智通财经
Nov 05, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,交银国际发布研报称,上调新东方-S(09901)港股目标价19.6%,从46港元升至55港元,亦上调对其美股目标价,维持“买入”评级。仍看好公司K12教培相关业务需求及成长前景,并考虑年龄覆盖相对分散,收入稳健增长,利润率仍有优化空间,加上股东回报体现长期增长确定性及现金流充裕。留学相关业务近期受影响但仍领先行业。

新东方2026财年1季收入同比增6%至15.23亿美元,超该行预期1%;经调整营运利润约3.36亿美元,营运利润率22%,较去年同期扩张1个百分点;经调整归母净利润2.58亿美元,对应净利率17%。留学相关业务表现优于预期,备考/咨询收入较去年同期分别增长1%/2%,对比先前预期的减少5%。大学生/成人业务维持稳健增速,收入同比增14%;K9新业务收入同比增15%,学习机表现优于非学科。公司宣布现金派息1.9亿美元,以及3亿元回购计划,好于先前预期。

管理阶层维持2026财年集团收入指引,预期收入年增速5-10%,并指引第2季营收成长区间在9-12%,对比VA先前预期的9%。相比此前市场对业务增长的担心,K12业务续班率、产品品质的提升可望带动收入恢复稳健增长区间,同时持续的提效手段也将利好营运利润率实现稳定或微增目标。留学相关业务或仍承压,但也受惠于青少年相关语言培训收入同比增长(预计超过25%),以及非英美地区留学顾问业务的扩张,收入影响逐步可控。该行预计2026/2027/2028财年公司整体营收增长率仍可超10%,利润率扩张趋势不变。

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