【券商聚焦】华泰证券料26年上市银行息差降幅有望进一步收窄

金吾财讯
Nov 05

金吾财讯 | 华泰证券表示,9M25上市银行营收、净利润同比+0.9%、+1.5%,增速分别较25H1-0.1pct、+0.7pct。营收增速边际略有下滑,主要因债市波动下其他非息收入增速放缓,利息净收入、中收增长持续回暖。归母净利润增速改善,主要得益于减值计提减少,驱动利润释放。账面不良率整体平稳,拨备覆盖率略有下滑。该机构指,息差逐步企稳+中收持续修复,驱动核心盈利改善。预计26年上市银行息差降幅有望进一步收窄,资本市场持续活跃,中收改善动能仍较强,业绩有望逐步筑底回稳。纵向看,截至11月3日,银行板块PB(lf)估值0.70倍,2010年以来PB估值分位数为25.37%,处于较低水平。横向看,当前银行行板块PB(lf)位于Wind30个行业末尾。经过持续两年的上涨,当前银行筹码波动性明显放大,选股重要性提升,建议聚焦两大方向:1)基本面优质,有望随市场风险偏好回升修复估值溢价,2)稳健高股息标的。

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